Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001588 0.001651 0.001715 0.001787 0.001865 0.001947 0.002040
2025-07-20 0.001479 0.001568 0.001664 0.001775 0.001901 0.002040 0.002207
2025-07-27 0.001412 0.001521 0.001640 0.001784 0.001953 0.002148 0.002396
2025-08-03 0.001348 0.001468 0.001604 0.001770 0.001974 0.002218 0.002541
2025-08-10 0.001309 0.001441 0.001592 0.001783 0.002023 0.002321 0.002736
2025-08-17 0.001265 0.001404 0.001566 0.001774 0.002042 0.002385 0.002882
2025-08-24 0.001223 0.001366 0.001535 0.001756 0.002046 0.002429 0.003003
2025-08-31 0.001210 0.001361 0.001544 0.001788 0.002117 0.002565 0.003272
2025-09-07 0.001186 0.001343 0.001535 0.001795 0.002153 0.002655 0.003482
2025-09-14 0.001155 0.001313 0.001509 0.001777 0.002152 0.002692 0.003610
2025-09-21 0.001122 0.001281 0.001478 0.001751 0.002139 0.002707 0.003702
2025-09-28 0.001097 0.001257 0.001457 0.001738 0.002141 0.002745 0.003839
2025-10-05 0.001054 0.001210 0.001406 0.001680 0.002078 0.002679 0.003782
2025-10-12 0.001034 0.001192 0.001391 0.001674 0.002091 0.002733 0.003958
2025-10-19 0.001022 0.001183 0.001388 0.001684 0.002127 0.002828 0.004231
2025-10-26 0.001003 0.001164 0.001372 0.001673 0.002130 0.002869 0.004401
2025-11-02 0.000993 0.001157 0.001371 0.001685 0.002169 0.002974 0.004732
2025-11-09 0.000976 0.001141 0.001357 0.001677 0.002176 0.003023 0.004943
2025-11-16 0.000958 0.001122 0.001338 0.001661 0.002169 0.003045 0.005098
2025-11-23 0.000956 0.001125 0.001350 0.001689 0.002237 0.003214 0.005673
2025-11-30 0.000947 0.001118 0.001346 0.001696 0.002267 0.003313 0.006100
2025-12-07 0.000930 0.001100 0.001329 0.001679 0.002259 0.003334 0.006300
2025-12-14 0.000912 0.001081 0.001307 0.001656 0.002237 0.003326 0.006408